RoyaltyStat Blog

Profit Margin by Indirect Least Squares in Transfer Pricing

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

A practice in transfer pricing is to select a “net profit indicator” (such as operating profit margin or return on assets) and calculate quartiles among i = 1, 2, …, N selected enterprise-level comparables. This practice produces unreliable profit indicators that can’t survive audit scrutiny. A major fallacy of this practice is to estimate structural equations when reduced-forms should be estimated. In this blog, we discuss and solve this fallacy.

SelectinG the appropriate “net” profit indicator (NPI) IN tRANSFER pRICING

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

We discuss three contending transfer pricing models. Let P = “Net” profits, S = Sales, and A = Assets: For simplicity, we don’t consider profit markup on total costs, and exclude random errors:

Coefficient of Variation of Return on Assets Used in Transfer Pricing

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

In DuPont’s profit identity, “return on assets” (profit rate) is equal to profit margin multiplied by asset turnover. Using DuPont’s profit formula, combined with an assumption that profit margin and asset turnover (measures of economic performance and adopted technology) are independent, we showed on a prior blog that the coefficient of variation of return on assets is greater than of the profit margin. It follows that profit margin is more reliable (has a lower coefficient of variation) than return on assets. In science, coefficient of variation is an accepted method of determining the reliability of a selected variable.

Most Reliable Transfer Pricing Profit Indicator Based on Coefficient of Variation

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

Transfer pricing tax compliance is devoid of external CUP (comparable uncontrolled prices). Therefore, we must select (under the TNMM and under the Profit Split Method) the most appropriate “net” profit indicator (NPI) from comparable uncontrolled enterprises. Most appropriate is the most reliable among competing profit indicators. In economics and statistics, reliability is measured by the coefficient of variation (standard deviation / mean) of the selected variable.

Using a distributed lag model to determine arm’s length profits in transfer pricing

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

Transfer pricing reports often lack valid economic principles, relying instead on ad hoc specification. This faulty practice is permitted by misconceived transfer pricing regulations based on the OECD model.

US and OECD method for computing arm’s length profit margin in Transfer Pricing is flawed

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

We analyzed the statistical relation between operating profits and net sales for a large group of US listed companies using RoyaltyStat®’s online database of company financials. The results of this study have led us to conclude that the OECD and US transfer pricing guidance on the comparable profits method (TNMM) does not produce the most reliable measure of an arm’s length operating profit margin and that other more informed measures should be considered. Instead of simple regulatory prescription, we apply economics and statistics to reach these conclusions.

Surplus Bargaining and the Effect of Contract Redaction on Royalties

We find little empirical work in academia about the determinants of royalty rates covering intellectual property (IP) licensing transactions. Beyond the exchange of intellectual property itself, licensing transactions play an important role to market practitioners. Market practitioners benchmark their own pricing terms based on prior royalty rates transactions. Royalty rates are also important for those analyzing IP for transfer pricing and patent litigation, where comparable transactions are recognized by tax authorities and courts as benchmarks of value.

OECD Inventory Adjustment to Profits in Transfer Pricing is Spurious

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

In transfer pricing, a frequent “comparability adjustment” to (gross or operating) profits involving inventories is spurious. The OECD is wrong disseminating misconceived guidance about “working capital” adjustment that includes inventories. The inventory adjustment to profits is bogus because inventory is included in cost of goods sold (COGS); thus, the same inventory variable appears on both sides of the adjustment equation, making the proposed adjustment false. Follow at your peril: OECD, Comparability Adjustments (July 2010), ¶¶ 16-17: http://www.oecd.org/tax/transfer-pricing/45765353.pdf 

The IRS has published similar argy-bargy: https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-apa/study_guide_exhibit_d.pdf

Adjusted COGS is a Proxy for Purchases in Transfer Pricing

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

Adjusting cost of goods sold (COGS) to remove the effect of one-year changes in inventory is important before determining the arm’s length gross profits resulting from crossborder related-party purchases of goods and services. Adjusted COGS produce also a more reliable measure of the operating profits of the tested party (audited taxpayer) and the selected comparable companies.

Hard-to-Value Intangibles sans mystere in Transfer Pricing

Posted by Ednaldo Silva

Unlike the debutant affection of the OECD, we discourage using projected profits or cash flows to measure hard-to-value-intangibles (HTVI) for transfer pricing purposes because this method is speculative and based on several impeachable assumptions.